Preseason Rankings
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#303
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.4#290
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#311
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#264
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 4.7% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 22.8% 41.6% 15.8%
.500 or above in Conference 49.5% 62.9% 44.6%
Conference Champion 2.7% 5.0% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 4.3% 8.5%
First Four1.1% 1.4% 1.0%
First Round2.1% 4.0% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas St. (Home) - 27.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 48 - 69 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 143   Texas St. L 62-68 27%    
  Nov 30, 2020 65   @ SMU L 57-77 4%    
  Dec 02, 2020 231   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 67-74 26%    
  Dec 10, 2020 231   UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-71 47%    
  Dec 12, 2020 14   Texas Tech L 56-79 2%    
  Dec 15, 2020 143   @ Texas St. L 59-71 14%    
  Dec 29, 2020 15   @ Texas L 52-78 1%    
  Jan 02, 2021 319   @ SE Louisiana L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 06, 2021 136   Stephen F. Austin L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 09, 2021 173   Abilene Christian L 65-70 35%    
  Jan 16, 2021 236   @ Lamar L 65-72 29%    
  Jan 20, 2021 312   @ New Orleans L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 23, 2021 336   @ Incarnate Word W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 27, 2021 246   Sam Houston St. L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 30, 2021 339   Houston Baptist W 85-76 79%    
  Feb 06, 2021 336   Incarnate Word W 72-63 77%    
  Feb 10, 2021 136   @ Stephen F. Austin L 65-78 14%    
  Feb 13, 2021 173   @ Abilene Christian L 62-73 18%    
  Feb 17, 2021 319   SE Louisiana W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 20, 2021 236   Lamar L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 24, 2021 312   New Orleans W 74-70 63%    
  Mar 03, 2021 246   @ Sam Houston St. L 69-75 30%    
  Mar 06, 2021 339   @ Houston Baptist W 82-79 61%    
Projected Record 9 - 14 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 2.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 2.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 3.7 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.4 3.0 0.7 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.2 1.0 0.1 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.8 5.1 1.4 0.1 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.4 1.9 0.2 10.6 8th
9th 0.1 2.1 5.0 2.5 0.2 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.2 1.4 4.1 3.3 0.4 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 3.6 2.6 0.5 0.0 8.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.2 0.6 0.0 5.7 12th
13th 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.0 13th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.2 4.5 7.7 9.8 12.2 12.9 13.0 11.9 9.6 6.7 4.3 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 93.2% 0.3    0.3 0.1
14-2 73.5% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-3 39.4% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-4 10.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 58.1% 58.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 29.5% 29.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.0% 30.8% 30.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7
13-3 2.6% 20.1% 20.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.1
12-4 4.3% 14.6% 14.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.7
11-5 6.7% 7.4% 7.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 6.2
10-6 9.6% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.3
9-7 11.9% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.8
8-8 13.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.9
7-9 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.9
6-10 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.2
5-11 9.8% 9.8
4-12 7.7% 7.7
3-13 4.5% 4.5
2-14 2.2% 2.2
1-15 1.0% 1.0
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 97.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%